U.S. Signals Potential Iran Deal While Laying Contingency Plans for Strait of Hormuz

The Trump administration is navigating a dual-track approach toward Iran, with Vice President JD Vance indicating that the U.S. is 'very close' to a diplomatic agreement. However, President Trump emphasized that the final decision remains with him, while Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth reaffirmed that the U.S. military remains fully prepared for a return to conflict if necessary. This high-level signaling suggests that while a deal is on the table, the White House is maintaining significant leverage through military readiness. Amid these negotiations, maritime security in the Strait of Hormuz has emerged as a primary focus for the administration and its allies. Secretary of State Marco Rubio, speaking at NATO talks, underscored a nuclear 'red line' and called for a 'Plan B' to protect shipping corridors. Reporting indicates the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) recently permitted 24 ships to transit the strait, though the U.S. remains wary of potential disruptions. NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte has joined discussions on coordination efforts to ensure the corridor remains open 'one way or the other.' Tehran has publicly downplayed the prospect of an immediate deal, with Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian suggesting the country must develop alternative trade routes to mitigate economic pressure. Meanwhile, Oman continues its role as a key mediator, offering assurances to Washington regarding shipping stability and the absence of transit fees in the Strait. President Trump has also sought to link the nuclear negotiations with broader regional goals, including Israel normalization, aiming for a comprehensive regional package.