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U.S.-Iran Conflict Escalates as Nuclear Negotiations Reach Impasse

Energy markets surge as President Trump dismisses Tehran’s counterproposal and military assets mobilize in the Gulf.

May 12, 2026 at 3:00 AM

Diplomatic efforts to stabilize the 10-week conflict between the United States and Iran faced a severe setback Monday as President Donald Trump characterized a counterproposal from Tehran as "garbage." The primary point of contention remains Iran’s refusal to accept U.S. conditions on uranium enrichment and nuclear material monitoring. While Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian has signaled a desire for diplomatic resolution, hardline factions and the IRGC-affiliated media have labeled the U.S. terms a demand for "surrender," insisting instead on full sanctions relief and war reparations. The deadlock has triggered immediate volatility in global markets, with Brent crude oil jumping to $112 per barrel. The ongoing maritime blockade in the Strait of Hormuz has now trapped over 1,500 vessels, forcing major shipping firms like Maersk and MSC to divert tankers around Africa at significant cost. Regional tensions were further heightened by reports of a U.S. submarine allegedly sinking an Iranian vessel in Sri Lankan waters, an incident that threatens to draw the Indian Ocean into the conflict zone and has already caused sharp fuel price spikes in India. In response to the deteriorating situation, Saudi Arabia and Kuwait have granted the U.S. expanded access to airbases and airspace. This mobilization follows the interception of three Iranian drones near Riyadh and the deployment of U.S. B-52 bombers to Kuwait. While a ceasefire remains technically in place, President Trump has described it as being on "life support," with a mere 1% chance of viability as both nations signal readiness for a potential resumption of full-scale hostilities.

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